No position
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $740
- Potential profit
- $740
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Polymarket Trader
paskopg
0xe61be463340bf8c0f4ad19359f3114f27c0d6b11
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$25.87
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 83.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $19.74
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$45.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 0.1% 181.98 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 14% 100.49 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 31.8% 37.73 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 45% 43.77 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 93.8% 33.54 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 35.4% 9.89 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 35.6% 3.43 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 57% 1.72 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 86% 1.14 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 32.4% 15.45 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 58% 1.72 shares
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No 0.1% 260 shares