No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$380
Polymarket Trader
parmesan
0xe61ffbd01479b3074ed481562ec7cefcf62ddd2d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $481.6
- Realized PnL
- $1.67K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $762.28
- Potential profit
- $762.28
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $731.71
- Potential profit
- $731.71
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.2%
- Current value
- $132.99
- Potential payout
- $694.44
- Potential profit
- $561.46
- Multiplier
- 5.22x
- User PnL
- -$67.01
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $250
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $416.67
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $98.61
- Potential payout
- $334.28
- Potential profit
- $235.66
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$1.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $655.12
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $584.88
No position
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $544.85
Yes position
Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285.96
No position
Will Trump say "Stupid" during Iowa speech?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.83
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.18
No position
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.8
No position
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $50.78
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.55
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$64
Yes position
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$364.86
Yes position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$492.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes 37.2% 268.46 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes 40.5% 493.83 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?Yes 28.8% 694.44 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?Yes 29.9% 334.28 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes 30% 666.67 shares
- Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?Yes 4.3% 824.74 shares
- Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?Yes 48.5% 824.74 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes 97.3% 1,804.74 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes 61.5% 813.01 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes 60.5% 991.74 shares
- Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?Yes 41% 731.71 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 12% 666.67 shares