Polymarket Trader

Thanevor

0xe63389f0f1882942bfa1b211027cb0f9a77bc0fe

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $643.97
Realized PnL: $1.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $171.47
Potential payout: $274.36
Potential profit: $102.88
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$0.57

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $199.1
Potential payout: $220
Potential profit: $20.9
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $179.22
Potential payout: $200.24
Potential profit: $21.03
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $14.8

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $65.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $134.5
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $5.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $44.25
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$14.25

Yes position

Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $44.75
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$29.25

Belgium position

Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $14.33
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$0.1

Norway position

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $4.93
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $9.36
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$0.07

France position

France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $7.85
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $2.15
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $221.57

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.07

No position

Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.2

Yes position

Will Trump call Carney a "Governor" before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.5

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the top AI model on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $77.93

Yes position

Trump imposes 100% tariff on China before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.59

Yes position

Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $73.44

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.05

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.4

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.93

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.1

No position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $61.93

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $52.67

Yes position

Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.5

Tristan (USC) position

Sperm Race: Tristan (USC) vs Asher (UCLA)

Ends Apr 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49

No position

Will xAI have the top AI model on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.9

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.01

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $42.9

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.74

No position

Harvard international students ban ended before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.16

Yes position

Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.59

No position

Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.14

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Norway 35% 14.29 shares
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Belgium 26% 19.23 shares
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

United States 54% 83.33 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Argentina 86% 5.81 shares
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

United States 52% 9.62 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Spain 67% 7.46 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 52% 9.62 shares
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

England 54% 9.26 shares
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance

France 93% 5.38 shares
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Morocco 72% 6.94 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Brazil 68% 7.35 shares
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance

France 93% 5.38 shares