Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $3.54
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $96.46
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$4.16
Polymarket Trader
0xe63b...1630
0xe63be5269c4600b52e622697e22b0b605eff1630
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $22.78
- Realized PnL
- $5.77
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.9%
- Current value
- $6.94
- Potential payout
- $10.37
- Potential profit
- $3.43
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $9.36
- Potential payout
- $10.01
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.45
Yes position
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $2.94
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $2.61
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.8
Yes position
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $390 Week of May 11 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
Yes position
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $395 Week of May 11 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $385 Week of May 11 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will Cristiano Ronaldo's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes 54% 5.56 shares
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11% 18.57 shares
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 14% 18.57 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 48.2% 10.37 shares
- Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 92% 15.5 shares
- Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?Yes 12% 100 shares
- Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?Yes 12% 100 shares
- Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?Yes 2.2% 47.61 shares
- Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 89% 5.62 shares
- Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?Yes 21% 47.62 shares
- Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 91% 9.89 shares
- Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $390 Week of May 11 2026?Yes 92% 8.84 shares