Polymarket Trader

0xE645B189938D1488ac3Fc600B1E9E4aA96deFBdE-1775185739969

0xe645b189938d1488ac3fc600b1e9e4aa96defbde

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $299.2
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$17

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $710.53
Potential profit: $710.53
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $571.43
Potential profit: $571.43
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $58.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.91

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.68

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.61

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 46.51x
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.73

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.89

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.84

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $3.41

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 17.1%
Multiplier: 5.87x
User PnL: $1.16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 19.1% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 40% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 26% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 13.3% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 60% 16.67 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 40.6% 244.73 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 40.4% 244.72 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 28% 71.43 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 1,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 2.2% 40 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 273.96 shares
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.5% 1,000 shares