No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $2.3K
- Potential payout
- $2.73K
- Potential profit
- $422.75
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $105.02
Polymarket Trader
hakairhino
@0xHakai_
0xe64e06d073e72aec32cdff8f1dd033a38c963f1f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.3K
- Realized PnL
- $4.41K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $589.75
- Potential profit
- $589.75
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 December 1-7?
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $564.81
- Potential profit
- $564.81
- User PnL
- -$30
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $732.21
No position
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $551.65
No position
Harmonix FDV above $25M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $489.18
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $480.72
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $351.62
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $309.3
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $264.71
No position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.01
No position
Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.73
No position
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $206.87
No position
Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.42
Yes position
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.67
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.26
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.81
Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $76.58
No position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by January 31?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.91
Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.18
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by September 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.42
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$14.74
No position
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$19.9
No position
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 71.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$34.34
Yes position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by March 15?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$42.17
No position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$59.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 78% 1,282.05 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 83% 1,445.4 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 86% 2,209.3 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes 41.4% 2,200.27 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No 87% 574.71 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes 46.3% 1,076 shares
- Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?Yes 41.3% 1,345.05 shares
- Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 28?Yes 9.1% 1,199.99 shares
- Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by March 15?Yes 25% 71.29 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No 93% 3,798.12 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No 79% 1,265.82 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No 78% 512.55 shares