Polymarket Trader

inuyashaa

@laicaier

0xe64f8fccef01cdc22da08e3dac1b2991fab36cc3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $791.21
Realized PnL: $2.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $129.38
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $901.55
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $29.38

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $39.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $960.5
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $69.34
Potential payout: $943.4
Potential profit: $874.06
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$30.66

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $111.82
Potential payout: $606.06
Potential profit: $494.24
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $11.82

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $36.61
Potential payout: $595.24
Potential profit: $558.63
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$13.39

Under position

Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $243.9
Potential profit: $243.9
User PnL: -$200

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$157.79

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 74.9%
Current value: $101.02
Potential payout: $134.97
Potential profit: $33.94
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $1.02

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.22
Potential profit: $125.22
User PnL: -$100

Under position

Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.75
Potential profit: $113.75
User PnL: -$100

No position

Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$50

No position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $71.97
Potential payout: $75.76
Potential profit: $3.79
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $21.97

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $47.02
Potential payout: $71.78
Potential profit: $24.76
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$2.98

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $57.1
Potential payout: $70.5
Potential profit: $13.39
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $7.1

No position

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $49.3
Potential payout: $70.42
Potential profit: $21.13
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: -$0.7

T1 position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.05
Potential profit: $66.05
User PnL: -$50

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $48.36
Potential payout: $65.79
Potential profit: $17.43
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$1.64

Under position

United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.49
Potential profit: $55.49
User PnL: -$50

Under position

Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $29.8
Potential payout: $40.54
Potential profit: $10.74
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$0.2

Under position

Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.17
Potential profit: $28.17
User PnL: -$20

Under position

Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $17.24
User PnL: -$10

No position

Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.35

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.9

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.46

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.91

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.37

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.18

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.27

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.35

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $78.69

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $73.93

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.09

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.25

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.44

No position

Will Trump say "Eight wars" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.63

No position

Will Trump say "World Cup" during Pennsylvania events on December 9?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.54

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.61

No position

Will Trump disparage Zohran Mamdani on Friday?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.09

Yes position

Will Robinhood Markets (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.49

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42.55

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.65

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.04

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.89

Hurricanes position

Hurricanes vs. Canadiens

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.75

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.46

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 20?

No 51.7% 74.62 shares
Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 1.5

Under 97.1% 55.55 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

No 76% 65.79 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 20?

No 67% 74.63 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

No 63.3% 120.25 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

No 74.1% 134.97 shares
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 74% 40.54 shares
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

No 71% 70.42 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

No 83.2% 120.25 shares
Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 1.5

Under 90% 55.56 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 19?

No 95.6% 54.67 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 19?

No 91.4% 54.68 shares