Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $621.25
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Polymarket Trader
armagedd0n
0xe64fefc3552125df3480e3c20fb55aaafb607d13
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.75
- Realized PnL
- $3.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $592.57
- Potential profit
- $592.57
- User PnL
- -$169.38
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 8AM ET
Ends Aug 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $466
- Potential profit
- $466
- User PnL
- -$24.75
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 11AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $436.81
- Potential profit
- $436.81
- User PnL
- -$217.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $413.68
- Potential profit
- $413.68
- User PnL
- -$151.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 4PM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $406.46
- Potential profit
- $406.46
- User PnL
- -$30.07
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 9AM ET
Ends Aug 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.97
- Potential profit
- $399.97
- User PnL
- -$94.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 6AM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $382.6
- Potential profit
- $382.6
- User PnL
- -$46.32
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $380.21
- Potential profit
- $380.21
- User PnL
- -$200
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 6PM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $374.38
- Potential profit
- $374.38
- User PnL
- -$155.49
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $374.12
- Potential profit
- $374.12
- User PnL
- -$19
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 12AM ET
Ends Aug 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $343.57
- Potential profit
- $343.57
- User PnL
- -$135.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $343.12
- Potential profit
- $343.12
- User PnL
- -$130
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 6AM ET
Ends Aug 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $337.44
- Potential profit
- $337.44
- User PnL
- -$107.89
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $328.89
- Potential profit
- $328.89
- User PnL
- -$145.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2PM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $316.38
- Potential profit
- $316.38
- User PnL
- -$140
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $308.84
- Potential profit
- $308.84
- User PnL
- -$98.95
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$57.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $291.91
- Potential profit
- $291.91
- User PnL
- -$101.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 2PM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $280.63
- Potential profit
- $280.63
- User PnL
- -$11.26
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 6AM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $266.05
- Potential profit
- $266.05
- User PnL
- -$143.83
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $256.79
- Potential profit
- $256.79
- User PnL
- -$45
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250.32
- Potential profit
- $250.32
- User PnL
- -$126.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11AM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $244.33
- Potential profit
- $244.33
- User PnL
- -$24.56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 4AM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.38
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.4
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.8
Down position
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1PM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 3AM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.72
Down position
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.82
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 7PM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 5AM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.92
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.1
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 11AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.29
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.87
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 4PM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.47
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - August 9, 11PM ET
Ends Aug 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.09
Up position
XRP Up or Down - July 8, 2PM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.28
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- XRP Up or Down - July 8, 2PM ETUp 96% 130 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2PM ETUp 92% 30 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 2PM ETUp 95.4% 45 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 2PM ETUp 92% 45 shares
- XRP Up or Down - July 8, 2PM ETDown 35% 20.37 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 2PM ETUp 36% 20 shares
- XRP Up or Down - July 8, 2PM ETUp 19% 30 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2PM ETUp 46% 10 shares
- XRP Up or Down - July 8, 2PM ETUp 15.7% 20 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2PM ETUp 39% 10 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 2PM ETUp 35% 10 shares
- XRP Up or Down - July 8, 2PM ETDown 21.9% 91.48 shares