Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.1%
- Current value
- $40.14
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $245.57
- Multiplier
- 7.12x
- User PnL
- $20.14
Polymarket Trader
equilibriuma
0xe653d48c0d82b2efca1947a4506ce061256c0286
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $64.73
- Realized PnL
- $47.39
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $87.5
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$17.5
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $12.08
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $71.25
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$2.92
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $22.22
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.17
- Potential profit
- $7.17
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.77
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.04
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $7.4
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?No 27.9% 7.17 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 7% 285.71 shares
- Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?No 78% 28.48 shares
- Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?No 52% 28.48 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 30% 100 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 83% 9.78 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 71% 9.79 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 45% 22.22 shares
- Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes 54% 37.04 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Yes 76% 48.38 shares
- Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes 18% 83.33 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Yes 31% 48.39 shares