No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $21.63K
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $3.38K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $875
Polymarket Trader
0xf76b1ed3e35c6e7c04ab2098001bf7909fd252a3
0xe665f54d3b82c79f1a29c4c327a21c7128dd7d42
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $47.14K
- Realized PnL
- $210.28
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $14.97K
- Potential payout
- $15.03K
- Potential profit
- $67.65
- User PnL
- $402.35
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $10.55K
- Potential payout
- $10.58K
- Potential profit
- $26.44
- User PnL
- $396.56
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $204.08
- Potential profit
- $204.08
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.28
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 92% 20,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 90% 15,516.65 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 95% 650 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 83% 25,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.7% 70,000 shares
- Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes 49% 204.08 shares