Polymarket Trader

Propylene

0xe667241a35f4fa8ff7806fb51c5eccbdc05a55a7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $378.1
Realized PnL: $110.63
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $166.64
Potential payout: $213.64
Potential profit: $47
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $19.23

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $20.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $179.9
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$11.9

Yes position

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $72.27
Potential payout: $136.36
Potential profit: $64.09
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $42.27

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $51.88
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $73.13
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $21.88

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $28.55
Potential payout: $96.77
Potential profit: $68.23
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$1.45

Yes position

World Cup: Ronaldo to Score 2+ Penalties?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $13.52
Potential payout: $79.55
Potential profit: $66.02
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$16.48

Yes position

Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $75.76
Potential profit: $74.36
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$3.6

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $30.61
Potential profit: $30.6
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will there be 5+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23.9%
Current value: $7.04
Potential payout: $29.5
Potential profit: $22.46
Multiplier: 4.19x
User PnL: -$2.96

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $2.36
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $25.42
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$2.64

Yes position

Mohamed Salah: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $15.15
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $6.14
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $8.14
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $1.14

Yes position

Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $7.14
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $7.14
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $3.14

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $13.89
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Nico Williams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.95
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.9

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-24?

Ends Sep 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.71

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.32

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.28

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?

Ends Sep 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.02

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.5

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.89

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?

Ends Sep 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.78

No position

Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.17

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

Yes position

Will Electronic Arts (EA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5PM ET

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Bukayo Saka record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 8.3%
Multiplier: 12.05x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during the UK state banquet on September 17?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.81

Yes position

Will EA say "Saudi Arabia" during earnings call?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.36

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bukayo Saka record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 23.25 shares
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 28% 14.29 shares
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 31% 96.77 shares
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 24% 125 shares
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?

Yes 35% 14.29 shares
Will Nico Williams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 20% 5 shares
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.6% 75.76 shares
Will Bukayo Saka record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.3% 23.26 shares
Will there be 5+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 33.9% 29.5 shares
World Cup Goals H2H: Dembele vs. Olise

Olise 1.8% 50 shares
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?

No 8% 100 shares
Michael Olise: 1+ assists AND Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5 AND Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5 AND Will France win on 2026-06-26?

49.4% 1.98 shares