Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $62.43
- Potential payout
- $594.57
- Potential profit
- $532.14
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$37.57
Polymarket Trader
antikatar
0xe6684f124fe85b8627597404f59a428e2b447a6b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.13K
- Realized PnL
- $832.82
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $369.93
- Potential payout
- $408.76
- Potential profit
- $38.83
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $47.35
Yes position
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $330.83
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $219.47
- Potential payout
- $221.46
- Potential profit
- $1.99
- User PnL
- $13.47
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $168.62
- Potential payout
- $204.38
- Potential profit
- $35.77
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $6.62
Yes position
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $182.61
- Potential profit
- $182.52
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$109.91
Yes position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $146.99
- Potential profit
- $146.99
- User PnL
- -$112
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $127.54
- Potential payout
- $144.93
- Potential profit
- $17.39
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $27.54
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.1%
- Current value
- $110.4
- Potential payout
- $141.44
- Potential profit
- $31.05
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $10.4
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 78.6%
- Current value
- $107.15
- Potential payout
- $136.41
- Potential profit
- $29.26
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.57
Yes position
Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $119.54
- Potential payout
- $127.51
- Potential profit
- $7.97
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $19.54
Yes position
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $33.21
- Potential payout
- $125.31
- Potential profit
- $92.1
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$66.79
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $104.6
- Potential payout
- $114.94
- Potential profit
- $10.34
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4.6
No position
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $114.89
- Potential payout
- $114.94
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $14.89
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Current value
- $22.85
- Potential payout
- $111.2
- Potential profit
- $88.35
- Multiplier
- 4.87x
- User PnL
- -$17.15
No position
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $99.85
- Potential payout
- $109.73
- Potential profit
- $9.88
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $12.89
- Potential payout
- $105.26
- Potential profit
- $92.37
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$7.11
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $101.09
- Potential payout
- $103.63
- Potential profit
- $2.54
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $102.83
- Potential payout
- $102.99
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $2.83
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $101.27
- Potential payout
- $101.52
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $100.82
- Potential payout
- $101.18
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $30.07
- Potential payout
- $30.21
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- User PnL
- $1.07
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $20.68
- Potential payout
- $27.4
- Potential profit
- $6.71
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.84
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.47
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: January
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.91
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.74
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.89
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.29
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.04
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.88
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.05
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.95
Yes position
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.36
No position
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.89
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.47
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.37
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.1
No position
Will "Christmas Gameday: Lions vs. Vikings" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.9
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.81
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.13
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.08
Yes position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.04
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.89
No position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.28
Yes position
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes 2.1% 108.69 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94% 112.77 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 96.5% 103.63 shares
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?Yes 95.8% 187.93 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.7% 181.68 shares
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?Yes 95.7% 17.76 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 13% 135.13 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 81% 27.16 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 92% 108.7 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 97.1% 102.99 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 96% 30.21 shares
- Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?No 98.5% 101.52 shares