Yes position
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?
Ends Jan 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.64
Polymarket Trader
Marniar4mj
0xe6717aa730a85f0db1f274310a2acbc393c3de71
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $9.74
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Less than 26m people watch Trump inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.85
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will there be 400-500k rides on the DC metro on Jan 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Georgescu banned from Romania election?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.17x
- User PnL
- $0.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?
Ends Jan 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.64
Yes position
Less than 26m people watch Trump inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.85
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will there be 400-500k rides on the DC metro on Jan 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Georgescu banned from Romania election?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.17x
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will "Paddington in Peru" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $15-18m?
Ends Feb 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Trump tweet on inauguration day?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will United Kingdom finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Will T'wana Barnett (Player 830) win the Beast Games?
Ends Feb 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.8%
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Lehigh position
Lehigh vs. Navy
Ends Feb 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.88
No position
Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Yes position
Trump inauguration gets more viewers than Biden's?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No 98.5% 48 shares
- Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 98% 71 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 94.3% 40 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 94% 327 shares
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 98.8% 13 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 91.2% 167 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 91.2% 306 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.2% 42 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.3% 1,075 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 72.7% 423 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 72.7% 423 shares
- Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 98.9% 185 shares