Polymarket Trader

0xmarcola

0xe679161fe4a17358c5efdee07beb1a74ffa1636a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $201.9
Realized PnL: $1.47K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $520.14
Potential profit: $520.14
User PnL: -$57.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $451.71
Potential profit: $451.71
User PnL: -$12.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C or higher on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $229
Potential profit: $229
User PnL: -$5.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $200.65
Potential payout: $201.15
Potential profit: $0.5
User PnL: $158.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 40°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $201.05
Potential profit: $201.05
User PnL: -$2.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$6.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $186.6
Potential profit: $186.6
User PnL: -$28.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.13
Potential profit: $147.13
User PnL: -$18.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124
Potential profit: $124
User PnL: -$4.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.99
Potential profit: $121.99
User PnL: -$11.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.99
Potential profit: $119.99
User PnL: -$16.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$11.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.15
Potential profit: $75.15
User PnL: -$46.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.67
Potential profit: $71.67
User PnL: -$4.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.32
Potential profit: $70.32
User PnL: -$14.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.57
Potential profit: $67.57
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67
Potential profit: $67
User PnL: -$4.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $59.99
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.16
Potential profit: $54.16
User PnL: -$11.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $50.03
Potential profit: $48.78
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$3.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $83.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $65.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C or higher on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 17?

Yes 24% 19.09 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 17?

Yes 27% 20.91 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on June 17?

Yes 26% 25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on June 17?

Yes 25% 25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on June 17?

Yes 25% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 16?

Yes 85.7% 49.53 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 16?

Yes 3% 15.08 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 16?

Yes 2% 49.97 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 16?

Yes 29% 40 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 17?

Yes 21% 40 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 16?

Yes 19% 6.98 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 18?

Yes 7% 11 shares