Polymarket Trader

basedblk

0xe67b7f2a09910a875674b5d8f18208fe1e2a3ec6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.93K
Realized PnL: $1.53K
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Pump.fun launch a token by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.19K
Potential profit: $9.19K
User PnL: -$199.99

Yes position

Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.84K
Potential profit: $3.84K
User PnL: -$253.86

No position

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $610.59
Potential payout: $705.88
Potential profit: $95.29
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $10.59

Yes position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$500

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 30?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $451.36
Potential profit: $451.36
User PnL: -$400

No position

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $378
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $72
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $52.23

No position

Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $325.92
Potential payout: $326.09
Potential profit: $0.16
User PnL: $25.92

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 90.8%
Current value: $206.78
Potential payout: $227.73
Potential profit: $20.95
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $6.78

Eagles position

Eagles vs. Cowboys

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $224.72
Potential profit: $224.72
User PnL: -$200

No position

Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $156.13
Potential payout: $183.68
Potential profit: $27.55
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $6.13

No position

Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $125.69
Potential payout: $145.31
Potential profit: $19.62
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $11.41

No position

Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $77.85
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $12.15
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $8.55

No position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $39.54
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $30.46
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$7.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.78
Potential profit: $19.78
User PnL: -$13.85

No position

Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $5.48
Potential payout: $6.02
Potential profit: $0.54
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $336.59

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.71

No position

Will Pump.fun launch a token in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.95

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.11

Yes position

Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in New Brunswick in the next Canadian Election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.19

No position

Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.71

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.12

No position

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.85

No position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.93

Jaguars position

Jaguars vs. Cardinals

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.58

Yes position

Will NYC fully reopen by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.37

No position

Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.62

Browns position

Browns vs. Raiders

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.72

Wild position

Wild vs. Jets

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.22

Yes position

Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?

Ends May 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.38

No position

Will Clubhouse officially announce they’ve been acquired in 2021?

Ends Jan 1, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.46

No position

Will more than 2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 2838945.41x
User PnL: $11.27

Yes position

Claudine Gay still Harvard President by end of 2023?

Ends Dec 31, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

No position

Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on January 1, 2022?

Ends Jan 1, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.94

New York Mets position

Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

No position

Will the U.S. Men’s Basketball team win the Gold Medal at the 2020 Olympics?

Ends Aug 8, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 2438641717.82x
User PnL: -$2.65

Yes position

Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 6205648.52x
User PnL: -$15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 87.8% 227.73 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 30?

No 88.6% 451.36 shares
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?

No 85% 294.12 shares
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?

No 85% 176.47 shares
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?

No 85% 235.29 shares
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?

No 82% 121.95 shares
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?

No 81% 61.73 shares
Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2027?

No 83% 6.02 shares
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets

New York Mets 89% 29.8 shares
Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?

No 82% 36.59 shares
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?

No 36.6% 859.73 shares
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No 92% 326.09 shares