No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $900.92
- Potential payout
- $932.15
- Potential profit
- $31.23
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $9.79
Polymarket Trader
fretd
0xe68e97e963010ab4f3ab79c92e14dde5d1f35830
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $900.92
- Realized PnL
- $378.95
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.23
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.69
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.93
No position
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.51
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.82
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.29
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.48
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.65
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.4
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.67
No position
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.25
No position
BNB all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.39
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 March 2-8?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.66
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.91
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on November 6?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.22
Gen.G position
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.92
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 12?
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 November 3-9?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $122k November 3-9?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 11?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 95.6% 1,065.31 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.6% 1,021 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 97.3% 120 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?No 99.3% 110 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 54.1% 199.99 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 98.2% 900 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?No 99.8% 1,038 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No 99.6% 1,037.78 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 99.7% 1,033.99 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 98.1% 1,033.99 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?No 99.9% 1,014.34 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?No 99.8% 211.23 shares