Polymarket Trader

Marcusvc

0xe68f0c96a7c898c1182ffffe67e9febdb9dff249

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $118.58
Realized PnL: $38.77
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.41
Potential profit: $137.41
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $113.89
Potential payout: $125.84
Potential profit: $11.95
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.89

No position

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.1
Potential profit: $38.1
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.61
Potential profit: $37.61
User PnL: -$30.08

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.54
Potential profit: $21.54
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.54
Potential profit: $19.54
User PnL: -$17

No position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.05
Potential profit: $17.05
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Solana reach $150 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.39
Potential profit: $6.39
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.69
Potential payout: $4.69
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.73

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.31

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.65

Yes position

Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.84

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.97

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.31

Yes position

Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

No position

Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 2, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74

No position

Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

No position

US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46

No position

Will India strike Pakistan by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

No position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Solana reach $400 before 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 41.7% 4.69 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 89% 125.84 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

No 63% 38.1 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?

No 99% 101.01 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Yes 94.6% 28.16 shares
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

No 1% 100 shares
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Yes 87% 19.54 shares
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?

Yes 5.1% 137.41 shares
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?

No 99.5% 14.9 shares
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Yes 99% 16 shares
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?

No 95% 14.91 shares
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?

No 88% 17.05 shares