Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $1.71K
- Potential payout
- $118.24K
- Potential profit
- $116.52K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$1.66K
Polymarket Trader
Intendant-Jean-Talon
0xe6a8c937ed99a5587f6f699833d4a25431a800c7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.43K
- Realized PnL
- $38.75K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $43.36K
- Potential profit
- $42.34K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$770.35
Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $20.95
- Potential payout
- $3.81K
- Potential profit
- $3.79K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$3.71
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $117.6
- Potential payout
- $871.1
- Potential profit
- $753.51
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$15.23
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $80.17
- Potential payout
- $697.11
- Potential profit
- $616.94
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$24.21
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $85.1
- Potential payout
- $550.78
- Potential profit
- $465.68
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- -$6.86
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $384.05
- Potential payout
- $441.44
- Potential profit
- $57.39
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $11.61
Yes position
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $63.16
- Potential payout
- $360.91
- Potential profit
- $297.75
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $19.88
No position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $330.21
- Potential profit
- $330.21
- User PnL
- -$104
Yes position
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $205
- Potential profit
- $205
- User PnL
- -$19.06
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $85
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $115
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$106
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $183
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $17
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $49
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $187
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $13
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $17
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $186
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $14
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $32
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $2.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $197.1
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$51.1
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $179.5
- Potential profit
- $179.5
- User PnL
- -$66.08
Yes position
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $22.26
- Potential payout
- $154.03
- Potential profit
- $131.77
- Multiplier
- 6.92x
- User PnL
- $13.34
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $113.22
- Potential payout
- $127.93
- Potential profit
- $14.71
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $11.67
No position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $4.3
- Potential payout
- $123
- Potential profit
- $118.69
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$80.56
Yes position
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Ends Jan 3, 2027- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $23.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $76.5
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$11.5
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $96.3
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $3.7
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $16.3
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $45.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $54.5
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.65
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.33K
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.19K
No position
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.21K
Yes position
Will the Conservative Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2K
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04K
No position
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
No position
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
Yes position
Will Bloc Quebecois win between 21 and 25 seats in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
No position
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37K
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $873.28
Yes position
Canada election called before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $827.44
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $793.02
No position
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $656.23
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $616.06
No position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $541.79
Yes position
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $502.06
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $486.97
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $471.06
Yes position
Trudeau out before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $418.69
No position
Will Putin meet with Trump before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $404.06
No position
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $377.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 67% 200 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 74.4% 15.48 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 42.2% 140.01 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes 79% 80 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 85% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 36% 40 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 56% 298.97 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 14% 1,431.51 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes 87% 125.28 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 51% 140 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 39% 40 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes 86% 100 shares