Polymarket Trader

PredictionFail

0xe6b66110781aba2bc6b01f941cd693ca65499beb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $46.92
Realized PnL: $30.13
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $16.97
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $16.96
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C or higher on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$12.74

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12.99
Potential payout: $12.99
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or higher on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.99
Potential profit: $12.99
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.99
Potential profit: $11.99
User PnL: -$11.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.89

No position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election by between 10% and 20%?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

No position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

No position

Will "Untold: Jail Blazers" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win at least 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be 45°F or below on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 29?

No 99% 14 shares
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

No 99.9% 17 shares
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 29?

No 98% 11 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 28?

No 98% 14 shares
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 27?

No 98% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 26?

No 98% 13 shares
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

No 99.9% 17 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 25?

No 99% 13 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 24?

No 98% 14 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 23?

No 98.4% 15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on June 21?

No 99% 14 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 99.9% 30 shares