Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.2%
- Current value
- $3.17K
- Potential payout
- $7.7K
- Potential profit
- $4.53K
- Multiplier
- 2.43x
- User PnL
- $169.53
Polymarket Trader
Salamandra111
0xe6c410ec26df3bf5733ab5c19d235c44fc17c574
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.45K
- Realized PnL
- -$34.98
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $67.4
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $2.26K
- Multiplier
- 34.48x
- User PnL
- -$58.75
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $209.22
- Potential payout
- $459.83
- Potential profit
- $250.61
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $9.22
No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.64
- Potential profit
- $2.64
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$36.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 38.9% 7,702.37 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 54.8% 3,000 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 56% 1,500 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 56% 1,500 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?Yes 2.8% 93.57 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?Yes 2.7% 45 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99.8% 10.86 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?Yes 7.2% 1,388.65 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 43% 232.56 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 44% 227.27 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?No 99.7% 301.03 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 75% 2.64 shares