Polymarket Trader

coronored1carrot

0xe6c4e8508d6ebc4646ecea02ce781c44257d4c8b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $754.42
Realized PnL: $14.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $64.05
Potential payout: $18.3K
Potential profit: $18.24K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$2.15K

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $214
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.79K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $214

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.3%
Current value: $404.73
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $1.93K
Multiplier: 5.77x
User PnL: -$658.87

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$140

Yes position

Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$174.62

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
User PnL: -$432

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $997.67
Potential profit: $997.67
User PnL: -$31.93

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $970.01
Potential profit: $970.01
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $71.64
Potential payout: $754.11
Potential profit: $682.47
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$101.8

Yes position

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$132

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.14
Potential profit: $69.14
User PnL: -$2.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24K

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.89K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39K

Yes position

Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

Yes position

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

Yes position

Will Iran strike UAE again in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $611.37

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $606.61

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $569.44

Yes position

Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $441.08

Yes position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $429.57

Yes position

Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $378.77

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $375.13

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $257.84

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227

Yes position

US military action against Iran by Monday?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.22

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.52

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.31

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.69

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $144

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136

Yes position

Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.68

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Yes 2.5% 10,000 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?

Yes 15% 469 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?

Yes 17.7% 700 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Yes 44% 292.08 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?

Yes 2.1% 29.99 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Yes 12% 1,260.2 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?

Yes 16% 254.07 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Yes 49% 262.69 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Yes 59.9% 127.51 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 60% 1,192 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Yes 53.1% 230 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Yes 57% 600 shares