Polymarket Trader

XD94

0xe6ce2e72da33f03ee07503af6e855337340b271d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $859.3
Realized PnL: -$654.18
Win rate: 37.5%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $744.94
Potential payout: $64.78K
Potential profit: $64.03K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$59.66

Yes position

Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $992.55
Potential profit: $992.06
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$34.24

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $3.64
Potential payout: $606
Potential profit: $602.36
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$90.88

Yes position

Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $22.67
Potential payout: $581.39
Potential profit: $558.72
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$2.33

Yes position

Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $25.57
Potential payout: $378.78
Potential profit: $353.21
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $24.22
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $132.03
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $37.77
Potential payout: $121.85
Potential profit: $84.08
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: $3.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.16

Yes position

Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: $14.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12

Yes position

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.58

No position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump attend his son's wedding?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$22.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$23.65

Yes position

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$32.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$45.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$74.39

No position

Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$91.98

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$98.24

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$115

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$134.71

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$249.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 19,215 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 120.9 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 17,759.06 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 2,223.08 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 1,540 shares
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 29% 90 shares
Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16% 156.25 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 3,846 shares
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 27% 31.85 shares
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.3% 581.39 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 1,923 shares
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 6.6% 378.78 shares