Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.28K
- Potential profit
- $13.28K
- User PnL
- -$1.92K
Polymarket Trader
Aslan
0xe6d843435c9627d8243ec0582f0dc86f2a2f3484
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.96K
- Realized PnL
- $4.77K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.82K
- Potential payout
- $4.82K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.03K
No position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.4K
- Potential profit
- $4.4K
- User PnL
- -$1.71K
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $214
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.79K
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- $14
No position
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $2.93K
- Potential payout
- $3.51K
- Potential profit
- $578.78
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $458.57
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.09K
- Potential profit
- $3.09K
- User PnL
- -$188.74
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.07K
- Potential profit
- $3.07K
- User PnL
- -$144.94
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.07K
- Potential payout
- $3.07K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.92K
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.07K
- Potential profit
- $3.07K
- User PnL
- -$144.94
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.07K
- Potential profit
- $3.07K
- User PnL
- -$144.94
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.07K
- Potential profit
- $3.07K
- User PnL
- -$144.94
Yes position
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- User PnL
- -$985.17
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- User PnL
- -$465
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- User PnL
- -$129.88
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $255.27
- Potential payout
- $762.01
- Potential profit
- $506.74
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $49.23
No position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $669.87
- Potential payout
- $708.86
- Potential profit
- $38.99
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $48.37
Yes position
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $698.28
- Potential profit
- $698.28
- User PnL
- -$5.53
Yes position
Will Gary Woodland win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $698.28
- Potential profit
- $698.28
- User PnL
- -$5.53
Yes position
Will Rasmus Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $698.28
- Potential profit
- $698.28
- User PnL
- -$5.53
Yes position
Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $698.28
- Potential profit
- $698.28
- User PnL
- -$5.53
Yes position
Will Dustin Johnson win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $698.28
- Potential profit
- $698.28
- User PnL
- -$5.53
Yes position
Will Phil Mickelson win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $698.28
- Potential profit
- $698.28
- User PnL
- -$5.53
Yes position
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $698.28
- Potential profit
- $698.28
- User PnL
- -$5.53
Yes position
Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $698.28
- Potential profit
- $698.28
- User PnL
- -$5.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $591.3
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $303.22
Yes position
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Yes position
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.04
No position
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.5
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.08
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.53
No position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228
No position
Will another golfer win the British Open?
Ends Jul 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.67
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $223.09
No position
Will Kamala Harris say "Inflation" 3 or more times during Friday speech?
Ends Aug 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.92
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $210.3
Yes position
Will Trump say "Springfield" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.2
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.67
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.21
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.81
No position
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $121.34
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $113.81
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $104
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $79.4
No position
Will Trump say "Elon Musk" at his rally?
Ends Aug 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $71.58
No position
Will $BTC reach 70k before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No 95% 356.88 shares
- Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes 1.6% 361.88 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 34% 3,322.41 shares
- Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?No 30.9% 615.56 shares
- Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?No 67.2% 1,828.27 shares
- Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?No 35.7% 484.83 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 34% 2,999.99 shares
- Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?No 42.9% 2,500 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 27% 3,000 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No 52.2% 575.45 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?No 71% 671.23 shares
- Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?No 89.1% 535 shares