Polymarket Trader

0xE6e04bf6Ee0Aaa29914E3785F10d51c0A294Ab1E-1759588298503

0xe6e04bf6ee0aaa29914e3785f10d51c0a294ab1e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $759.45
Realized PnL: $880.21
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $196
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $7.8K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $361.83
Potential payout: $3.53K
Potential profit: $3.17K
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$38.16

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $101.69
Potential payout: $924.49
Potential profit: $822.79
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$198.31

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $471.7
Potential profit: $471.7
User PnL: -$50

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $357.71
Potential profit: $357.71
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $96.15
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $57.69
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$3.85

No position

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.02
Potential profit: $71.02
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.97
Potential profit: $68.97
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $3.77
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $62.9
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$6.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.71

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.77

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.29

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.68

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.28

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Yes position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.61

No position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.87

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.78

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.92

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.78

Yes position

Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.9

Yes position

Will Trump sue the BBC?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.26

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.55

Yes position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86

No position

U.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73

No position

100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.33

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.55

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.5% 8,000 shares
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

No 70.4% 71.02 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 47% 212.77 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.1% 2,702.7 shares
US recession by end of 2026?

Yes 26.1% 383.41 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 74% 133.33 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?

Yes 23% 156.83 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 25% 689.65 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?

Yes 31% 156.84 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 29% 689.66 shares
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 10.6% 471.7 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Yes 25% 77.6 shares