Polymarket Trader

TheNobleSavage

0xe6f31fc5c16674526fdf18b5146d8d597b102568

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $739.34
Realized PnL: $11.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $33.41
Potential payout: $3.18K
Potential profit: $3.15K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$1.59

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $33.65
Potential payout: $2.69K
Potential profit: $2.66K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$1.34

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $35.15
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.86K
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 Travelers Championship?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $18.64
Potential payout: $760.87
Potential profit: $742.23
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$16.36

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $34.03
Potential payout: $648.15
Potential profit: $614.13
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $465.33
Potential profit: $465.33
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.7%
Current value: $25.03
Potential payout: $327.2
Potential profit: $302.17
Multiplier: 13.07x
User PnL: -$9.97

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.6%
Current value: $34.87
Potential payout: $257.36
Potential profit: $222.49
Multiplier: 7.38x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.9%
Current value: $34.19
Potential payout: $230.27
Potential profit: $196.07
Multiplier: 6.73x
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $33.97
Potential payout: $205.88
Potential profit: $171.91
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Travelers Championship?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $36.84
Potential payout: $184.21
Potential profit: $147.37
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $1.84

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.3%
Current value: $34.55
Potential payout: $179.49
Potential profit: $144.94
Multiplier: 5.19x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $34.57
Potential payout: $172.42
Potential profit: $137.85
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $34.42
Potential payout: $167.47
Potential profit: $133.06
Multiplier: 4.87x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $31.56
Potential payout: $152.85
Potential profit: $121.28
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: -$3.44

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $34.38
Potential payout: $120.69
Potential profit: $86.31
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 38.4%
Current value: $35.99
Potential payout: $93.84
Potential profit: $57.85
Multiplier: 2.61x
User PnL: $0.99

Over position

Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.42
Potential profit: $86.42
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.2%
Current value: $68.24
Potential payout: $86.17
Potential profit: $17.92
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$1.76

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $33.81
Potential payout: $79.55
Potential profit: $45.74
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$1.19

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $42.07
Potential payout: $74.48
Potential profit: $32.41
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $7.07

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $34.62
Potential payout: $68.49
Potential profit: $33.88
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.31
Potential profit: $67.31
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $35.34
Potential payout: $67.31
Potential profit: $31.97
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $0.34

Resolved Context

Closed positions

DN SOOPers position

LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

Celtics position

Celtics vs. Heat

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11K

Matteo Arnaldi position

Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $989.48

G2 position

Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $951.58

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $741.5

Nongshim Red Force position

LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $601.84

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $551.33

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $443.94

Hurricanes position

Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $430.6

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 89.8%
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $374.04

Baylor Bears position

Baylor Bears vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $338.17

Roman Andres Burruchaga position

US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Brandon Nakashima

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $308.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $293.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $277

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $259.95

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.21

Minnesota Twins position

Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $211.8

Yes position

Will Bud Cauley win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.53

Yes position

Will Vitality win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.13

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.59

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.66

No position

Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.75

Yes position

Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.69

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Yes 17% 205.88 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

No 88% 39.77 shares
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 Travelers Championship?

Yes 4.6% 760.87 shares
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Travelers Championship?

Yes 19% 184.21 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 67% 52.24 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 20.9% 167.46 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 13.6% 257.35 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 88.3% 39.64 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 77.4% 45.22 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 44% 79.55 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

No 76.8% 45.57 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 10.7% 327.2 shares