Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $97.2
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $2.3K
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Polymarket Trader
Solomund
0xe6fb2a438c51b87c9808720044f2ab0bde4e8119
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $324.17
- Realized PnL
- $2.07K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$517.7
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- User PnL
- -$386.74
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $174
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$172
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $958.44
- Potential profit
- $958.44
- User PnL
- -$111
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $909.09
- Potential profit
- $909.09
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $52.97
- Potential payout
- $706.32
- Potential profit
- $653.34
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$347.03
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $520.83
- Potential profit
- $520.83
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $370.37
- Potential profit
- $370.37
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $344.83
- Potential profit
- $344.83
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $256.36
- Potential profit
- $256.36
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Foreign intervention in Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.61
- Potential profit
- $60.61
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $709.99
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $445.27
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $393.05
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.97
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.33
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.08
Yes position
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.68
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.06
No position
Khamenei public appearance by Friday?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.38
Yes position
Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 4.2% 2,400 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes 39% 1,000 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 29% 1,000 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?No 29% 133.94 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 28% 200 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes 37% 200 shares
- Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes 11% 50 shares
- Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes 11% 50 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 31.1% 1,242.41 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 56% 893.05 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 48% 208.33 shares
- Khamenei public appearance by Friday?No 68.3% 146.38 shares