Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $271.6
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $991.67
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$63.4
Polymarket Trader
osintbets
0xe70b89a0235b2c8e7df32b80c151741b181c43fb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $289.86
- Realized PnL
- $601.24
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $491.11
- Potential profit
- $491.11
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $17.27
- Potential payout
- $19.74
- Potential profit
- $2.47
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.27
Y
Yes position
Austria to score first vs. Spain?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.05
- Potential profit
- $19.05
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $1.01
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.62
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.32
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.76
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.18
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $42.39
Yes position
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.73
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.25
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.85
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $13.68
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$43.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Austria to score first vs. Spain?Yes 21% 19.05 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 96.2% 1,271.02 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 94.4% 677.97 shares
- Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 59% 50.85 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 98.1% 471.12 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 82% 609.76 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No 76% 19.74 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 99.9% 5.01 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 90.9% 594.06 shares
- Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?No 6.1% 491.11 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 84.9% 471.13 shares
- Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 91.4% 437.73 shares