Polymarket Trader

0xe70b8e0b2C2C0819F9c9E66718FF06F0D29DDE12-1771872894369

0xe70b8e0b2c2c0819f9c9e66718ff06f0d29dde12

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $24.26
Realized PnL: $52.92
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $537.78
Potential profit: $537.78
User PnL: -$74.11

Yes position

Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $529
Potential profit: $529
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Frankenstein win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $471.65
Potential profit: $471.65
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will The Voice of Hind Rajab win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $386.73
Potential profit: $386.73
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $378.42
Potential profit: $378.42
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $362.29
Potential profit: $362.29
User PnL: -$38

Yes position

Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.82
Potential profit: $312.82
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $245.71
Potential profit: $245.71
User PnL: -$8.83

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Sirāt win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.79
Potential profit: $192.79
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $185.19
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $175.79
Potential profit: $175.53
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$7.74

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $173.92
Potential profit: $173.92
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.3%
Current value: $22.17
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $144.5
Multiplier: 7.52x
User PnL: $12.17

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.67
Potential profit: $153.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130.82
Potential profit: $130.82
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.83
Potential profit: $124.83
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116
Potential profit: $116
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $109.28
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$8.17

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.68
Potential profit: $78.68
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $42.93

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.98

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Yes 86% 61.55 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 48% 10.42 shares
Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Yes 4% 75 shares
Will The Voice of Hind Rajab win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 1.3% 386.73 shares
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 3.8% 130.82 shares
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 4.3% 116 shares
Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 3.2% 312.82 shares
Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 1.9% 529 shares
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Yes 1.3% 76.92 shares
Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 8% 124.83 shares
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 17.5% 57.26 shares
Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?

Yes 2.5% 39.23 shares