Polymarket Trader

parap

0xe70f6e38a157117491a55ef816a6fa709d31fb57

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $718.49
Realized PnL: -$2.01K
Win rate: 20%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $8K
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $303.96
Potential payout: $7.32K
Potential profit: $7.02K
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$10.57

No position

Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.44K
Potential profit: $6.44K
User PnL: -$346.38

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.9%
Current value: $414.53
Potential payout: $6.05K
Potential profit: $5.64K
Multiplier: 14.60x
User PnL: -$26.43

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.62K
Potential profit: $2.62K
User PnL: -$468.84

Yes position

Will Santa deliver fewer than 7,900,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Santa deliver between 8,000,000,000 and 8,100,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Santa deliver between 7,900,000,000 and 8,000,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Santa deliver more than 8,400,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $477.65
Potential profit: $477.65
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Santa deliver between 8,100,000,000 and 8,200,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $390.79
Potential profit: $390.79
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Jimmy Kimmel be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $330
Potential profit: $330
User PnL: -$10.23

Yes position

Will Santa deliver between 8,300,000,000 and 8,400,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175
Potential profit: $175
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Quentin Tarantino be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.14
Potential profit: $108.14
User PnL: -$3.35

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Kirsten Gillibrand be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.86
Potential profit: $9.86
User PnL: -$0.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$61.19

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$83.24

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$256.04

No position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.61K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 13% 100 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 34.9% 150 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 65% 150 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 3.6% 3,000 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 6.8% 741.04 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 4.4% 1,819.97 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 6.6% 270.88 shares
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goals AND Erling Haaland: 2+ goals

7.3% 133.15 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 16% 62.5 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 18% 100 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 7.2% 1,400 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 5.2% 1,636.58 shares