Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $28.04
- Potential payout
- $31.87
- Potential profit
- $3.82
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Polymarket Trader
0xE723aA3557f25F1C8D65bb31b86546F683c49A59-1757361390504
0xe723aa3557f25f1c8d65bb31b86546f683c49a59
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $60.09
- Realized PnL
- $60.48
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $25.45
- Potential payout
- $29.76
- Potential profit
- $4.32
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $4.44
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $1.64
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $2.16
- Potential payout
- $4.2
- Potential profit
- $2.04
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.61
Yes position
Will Eric Adams drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.7
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.63
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
SpaceX position
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Macron out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will Apple release a new product line in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 91% 31.87 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 84% 29.76 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 99.3% 30.29 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 99.4% 24.75 shares
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 71.5% 4.2 shares
- Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 15% 19.91 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 90% 12.22 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 80.8% 24.75 shares
- Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?No 98.3% 12.69 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 99.9% 18.58 shares
- Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?No 86.6% 12.7 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 95.1% 12.19 shares