Polymarket Trader

quirinis

0xe726c75fec4ad011c03d1e5467d369a883e9c243

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $333.01
Realized PnL: $372.75
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.3%
Current value: $101.71
Potential payout: $625.91
Potential profit: $524.2
Multiplier: 6.15x
User PnL: $46.63

No position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.9
Potential profit: $137.9
User PnL: -$86.17

No position

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $63.39
Potential payout: $82.86
Potential profit: $19.47
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $2.9

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $69.05
Potential payout: $79.37
Potential profit: $10.32
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $19.05

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.53
Potential profit: $73.53
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $56.65
Potential payout: $56.97
Potential profit: $0.31
User PnL: $6.65

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $21.42
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $1.31
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.42

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $20.79
Potential payout: $22.47
Potential profit: $1.69
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.48
Potential profit: $11.48
User PnL: -$7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.43

Yes position

Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.01

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.86

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.31

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris say "Ceasefire" during DNC speech?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.67

No position

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.94

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.45

No position

Will Russia join the Board of Peace?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.28

No position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 77.4%
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $14.84

No position

Will Trump eliminate daylight saving time in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.35

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio be a member of the Trump administration?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.85

No position

Will Cuomo endorse Eric Adams?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.67

No position

Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.4

No position

Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.62

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani say "Immigrant" during his victory/concession speech?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.98

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.03

Yes position

Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.48

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.58

No position

Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

Yes position

Will Biden say "Inflation" at DNC speech?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

No position

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98

No position

U.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74

No position

Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?

Ends Dec 17, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 68% 73.53 shares
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 79% 96.77 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 61% 11.48 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 11% 33.66 shares
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 62% 96.77 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 73.4% 88.33 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 53% 33.66 shares
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Yes 9% 195.15 shares
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Yes 26% 195.15 shares
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?

No 96.1% 52.69 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.8% 625.91 shares
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

No 73% 82.86 shares