Yes position
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $11.96K
- Potential payout
- $113.87K
- Potential profit
- $101.92K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $7.17K
Polymarket Trader
Pump
@PUMPAPOLY
0xe74d4976e5e034182d708a3b9df602e72d4722fd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $30.97K
- Realized PnL
- $44.79K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $508
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $19.49K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$32
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.44K
- Potential profit
- $9.44K
- User PnL
- -$162.95
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $520.99
- Potential payout
- $9.22K
- Potential profit
- $8.7K
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$4.61
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.87K
- Potential profit
- $8.87K
- User PnL
- -$409.42
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $6.6K
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $2.6K
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $1.4K
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $6.6K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.6K
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $1.4K
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $6.6K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.6K
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $6.6K
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $2.6K
No position
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.96K
- Potential profit
- $4.96K
- User PnL
- -$1.06K
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.43K
- Potential profit
- $4.43K
- User PnL
- -$39.97
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $1.81K
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $586.78
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $611.28
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- User PnL
- -$18.67
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $172.78
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- Multiplier
- 9.13x
- User PnL
- $118.49
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $247.91
- Potential profit
- $247.91
- User PnL
- -$141
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69K
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.86K
No position
Ethereum ETF begins trading by July 4?
Ends Jul 3, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8K
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45K
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38K
No position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.84K
Yes position
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $2.11K
Yes position
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?
Ends Nov 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85K
No position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
No position
Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81K
Yes position
SBF sentence between 20 and 30 years?
Ends Mar 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75K
Yes position
ETHBTC above 0.035 on Nov 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
No position
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 20?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $993.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $945.21
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $931.2
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $912.43
Yes position
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $889.76
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $886.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $842.75
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $772.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?Yes 1.9% 1,117 shares
- Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?Yes 7% 2,857.14 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 51% 550 shares
- Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?No 2% 680.16 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?Yes 28.9% 1,604.03 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?Yes 14.2% 324.57 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?Yes 13% 939.14 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 26% 985.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 26.2% 1,374.71 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?Yes 13% 2,218.6 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 38.5% 2,918.78 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.7% 40,585 shares