Polymarket Trader

apma-prdct

0xe7510adcb4c5cfacc198056dff8af39ea7a25a2a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $212.32
Realized PnL: $217.41
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $35.43
Potential payout: $36.08
Potential profit: $0.65
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $3.5
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $29.83
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$4.25

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the NE-02 House seat?

Ends Nov 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $6.92
Potential payout: $30.77
Potential profit: $23.85
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$1.08

No position

Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $9.19
Potential payout: $29.63
Potential profit: $20.44
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: $1.38

No position

Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $6.81
Potential payout: $29.63
Potential profit: $22.82
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$1.19

No position

Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $7.71
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $20.86
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$0.29

No position

Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $5.43
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $23.14
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$2.57

No position

Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $10.29
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $18.28
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $2.29

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?

Ends Nov 4, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $6.71
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $21.86
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$1.29

No position

Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $4.28
Potential payout: $27.59
Potential profit: $23.31
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$3.72

No position

Blue wave in 2026?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $7.04
Potential payout: $27.59
Potential profit: $20.55
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$0.97

No position

Will the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat?

Ends Nov 4, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $7.04
Potential payout: $27.59
Potential profit: $20.55
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$0.97

No position

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $15.48
Potential payout: $27.4
Potential profit: $11.92
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$4.52

No position

Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $7.33
Potential payout: $26.67
Potential profit: $19.34
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$0.67

No position

Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $6.4
Potential payout: $26.67
Potential profit: $20.27
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$1.6

No position

Will the Republican Party win the FL-16 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $6.6
Potential payout: $25.88
Potential profit: $19.28
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$2.2

No position

Will the Republican Party win the MI-01 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $4.77
Potential payout: $25.81
Potential profit: $21.04
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$3.23

No position

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $6.84
Potential payout: $25.81
Potential profit: $18.97
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$1.16

No position

Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $7.87
Potential payout: $25.81
Potential profit: $17.94
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will the Republican Party win the NC-14 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $4.13
Potential payout: $25.81
Potential profit: $21.68
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$3.84

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $14.81
Potential payout: $25.31
Potential profit: $10.5
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $1.65

No position

Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $9.38
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $15.63
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $1.38

No position

Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $13.52
Potential payout: $24.81
Potential profit: $11.29
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$1.86

No position

Will the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $4.85
Potential payout: $24.24
Potential profit: $19.39
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: -$3.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.48

No position

Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.32

No position

Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.51

No position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.86

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.76

Yes position

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.75

No position

Will Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.66

Yes position

Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.55

No position

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.39

No position

Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.83

No position

Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.12

No position

Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.81

Yes position

Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.75

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.51

No position

Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.5

No position

Will Tyrese Maxey lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.94

No position

Will the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win between 16 and 18 seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.73

No position

Will Cal Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.55

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Western Conference?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.48

No position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.46

No position

Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.39

No position

Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.32

No position

Will Mike Pieciak win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $5.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

No 48% 16.67 shares
Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat?

No 27% 29.63 shares
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

No 93.3% 14.29 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 64% 12.5 shares
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

No 57% 14.04 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 21% 15.38 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?

No 56.2% 22.86 shares
Will Michael Blake be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?

No 98% 8.16 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 63% 16.32 shares
Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 97.9% 8.16 shares
Will Brad Lander be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?

Yes 96.1% 8.16 shares
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

Yes 84% 9.41 shares