Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $82.75
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- Multiplier
- 14.93x
- User PnL
- -$37.36
Polymarket Trader
0xe751...5df8
0xe75168aa6feefef9fef17469c6133e8396045df8
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $158.32
- Realized PnL
- -$5.56
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $62.16
- Potential payout
- $654.29
- Potential profit
- $592.13
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$56.84
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on March 15, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $365
- Potential profit
- $365
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $13.41
- Potential payout
- $200.2
- Potential profit
- $186.79
- Multiplier
- 14.93x
- User PnL
- -$6.39
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.18
- Potential profit
- $103.18
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.54
- Potential profit
- $17.54
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.23
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 10% 15 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 4.8% 51.86 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 4.7% 162.55 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 7% 157.14 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 16% 31.25 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 8% 250 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 12% 75 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 13% 538.46 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 19% 105.26 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?Yes 2.9% 22.11 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?Yes 8.6% 10.86 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?Yes 0.9% 103.18 shares