Polymarket Trader

CryptoHarold

0xe756664cce6c6d1daf4fa92bf76078b009d99bd0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.95K
Realized PnL: $46.6
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $1.91K
Potential payout: $48.37K
Potential profit: $46.46K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$600.14

Yes position

Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 0 Sweden?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $317.33
Potential profit: $317.33
User PnL: -$19.04

Yes position

Cody Gakpo: 1+ assists

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.91
Potential profit: $116.91
User PnL: -$39.3

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $5.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94.95
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.67
Potential profit: $46.67
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $29.75
Potential payout: $37.65
Potential profit: $7.91
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $3.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Liverpool wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.08

Yes position

Will Portugal win?

Ends Jun 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.59

Yes position

o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.07

Real Madrid position

Real Madrid vs. Dortmund: Champions League Final

Ends Jun 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.29

Yes position

Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.89

Yes position

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-11-25?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.69

Yes position

Bitcoin new all time high in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will Liverpool beat Wolves?

Ends Sep 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will Netherlands U21 beat Ukraine U21?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2025-09-07?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will Arsenal beat Leicester City?

Ends Sep 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Bitcoin above $86,000 on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Giants position

Giants vs. Saints

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-26?

Ends Dec 26, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will PSV Eindhoven win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4% 375 shares
Cody Gakpo: 1+ assists

Yes 33.6% 116.91 shares
Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score

Yes 57% 21.05 shares
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 0 Sweden?

Yes 6% 317.33 shares
o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 99.1% 16.21 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 57% 29.82 shares
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score

Yes 50% 20 shares
o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 43.2% 16.21 shares
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Yes 69% 37.65 shares
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?

Yes 30% 46.67 shares
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?

Yes 75% 2.65 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-03-31?

Yes 20% 22.5 shares