Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.32
- Potential payout
- $4.64K
- Potential profit
- $4.63K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$47.62
Polymarket Trader
asterley
0xe762c62c0cd669fe9f6c7ac08be8e2700418064b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.91K
- Realized PnL
- $3.59K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $2.09K
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $9.47
- User PnL
- $89.71
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $1.2K
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $203.69
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $102.75
Yes position
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $44.22
- Potential payout
- $804.01
- Potential profit
- $759.79
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$10.46
Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $720.85
- Potential profit
- $719.05
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.24
Yes position
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $4.2
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $695.8
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $629.99
- Potential profit
- $629.05
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$9.89
No position
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $592.94
- Potential payout
- $596.22
- Potential profit
- $3.28
- User PnL
- $94.21
Under position
Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $441.18
- Potential profit
- $441.18
- User PnL
- -$247.77
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $52.5
- Potential payout
- $420
- Potential profit
- $367.5
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $11.2
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.4%
- Current value
- $92.95
- Potential payout
- $398.07
- Potential profit
- $305.12
- Multiplier
- 4.28x
- User PnL
- -$23.8
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $292.03
- Potential payout
- $391.98
- Potential profit
- $99.95
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $31.5
Yes position
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $56.74
- Potential payout
- $378.26
- Potential profit
- $321.52
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $15.13
Yes position
Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $72.45
- Potential payout
- $371.56
- Potential profit
- $299.11
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$14.08
Yes position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $365.18
- Potential profit
- $365.18
- User PnL
- -$141.75
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $8.18
- Potential payout
- $363.66
- Potential profit
- $355.48
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14.1%
- Current value
- $50.49
- Potential payout
- $357.06
- Potential profit
- $306.57
- Multiplier
- 7.07x
- User PnL
- -$4.08
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.4
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $348.6
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.8
No position
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $310.63
- Potential payout
- $339.49
- Potential profit
- $28.86
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $12.3
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $7.46
- Potential payout
- $317.25
- Potential profit
- $309.79
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$4
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 3 Winner
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $301.15
- Potential profit
- $301.15
- User PnL
- -$12.05
Yes position
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $25.89
- Potential payout
- $287.69
- Potential profit
- $261.8
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$30.17
Under position
Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $283.48
- Potential profit
- $283.48
- User PnL
- -$102.1
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $280
- Potential profit
- $280
- User PnL
- -$5.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $417.41
No position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.34
No position
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $182.98
No position
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $180.09
No position
Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.16
Yes position
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by February 28?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.29
No position
Will Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $169.3
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.2
Yes position
Will FK Zenit win on 2026-05-10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.2
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.32
No position
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.61
Yes position
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.4
Under position
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.28
No position
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.96
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $125.98
Yes position
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.62
No position
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $123.61
Under position
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.99
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.05
No position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $110.14
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.76
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.69
No position
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.2
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran full airspace closure by June 30?Yes 4.2% 140 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No 18% 35 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No 86% 7.41 shares
- Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Yes 32.5% 8.31 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 90.3% 14.28 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 90.3% 12.35 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 89.5% 7.34 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No 86% 9.8 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 89.5% 0.36 shares
- Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Yes 31% 3.69 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No 86% 43.16 shares
- Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?Yes 15% 17.14 shares