Jobli

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $26.17
Potential payout: $475.86
Potential profit: $449.69
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$13.8

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $27.37
Potential payout: $322
Potential profit: $294.63
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$2.61

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $13
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $187
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $6.24
Potential payout: $186.39
Potential profit: $180.15
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$3.72

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $3.44
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $121.56
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$6.56

No position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $18.77
Potential payout: $97
Potential profit: $78.23
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $18.76
Potential payout: $68.21
Potential profit: $49.46
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $23.64
Potential payout: $25.28
Potential profit: $1.64
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $3.92

Yes position

Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $2.28
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $9.72
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $4.42
Potential payout: $11.62
Potential profit: $7.2
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $4.96
Potential payout: $7.93
Potential profit: $2.97
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $4.84
Potential payout: $7.81
Potential profit: $2.97
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will Sian Astley win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 44.7%
Current value: $3.19
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $3.95
Multiplier: 2.24x
User PnL: -$1.72

Yes position

Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $4.93
Potential payout: $6.32
Potential profit: $1.39
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: -$0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Zizou Bergs position

Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo Humbert

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $355.47

Roman Safiullin position

Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonseca

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $306.28

Shintaro Mochizuki position

Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Shintaro Mochizuki

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.17

Soon-Woo Kwon position

Wimbledon ATP: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Martin Landaluce

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.91

Marcos Giron position

Wimbledon ATP: Quentin Halys vs Marcos Giron

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.78

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina position

Mallorca Championships: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.71

Kamil Majchrzak position

Wimbledon ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alejandro Tabilo

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.33

Zizou Bergs position

Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jan Choinski vs Zizou Bergs

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.47

Jack Draper position

Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jack Draper vs Jack Pinnington Jones

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.54

Novak Djokovic position

Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.15

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.11

Taylor Fritz position

Lexus Eastbourne Open: Taylor Fritz vs Jan Choinski

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$2.06

Yes position

Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.08

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.94

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.94

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 1?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.4

Henry Searle position

Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Henry Searle

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$49.28

Jack Draper position

Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jack Draper vs Ugo Humbert

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$49.4

Arthur Fils position

Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Arthur Fils

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$49.58

Ben Shelton position

Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Shelton