Jordan position
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $884
- Potential payout
- $3.4K
- Potential profit
- $2.52K
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.12K
Polymarket Trader
nighter
0xe7ae29b19dae951a2b65f010f59983ce74d8a0cb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.56K
- Realized PnL
- -$28.76K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Under position
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $671.5
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$331.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
Under position
Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $774
Panama position
Spread: England (-2.5)
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $624
No position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $565
Colombia position
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $500
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $379.44
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $323.49
No position
Will Japanese PM apologize for China comments in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.88K
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.62K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$27.15K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Colombia 75% 2,000 shares
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5Under 59% 1,700 shares
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Jordan 59% 3,400 shares
- Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5Under 57% 1,800 shares
- Spread: England (-2.5)Panama 61% 1,600 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No 98.4% 470 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No 98.4% 8,000 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes 11% 30,856.78 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes 19% 35,228.17 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes 18% 11,163.39 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes 17% 12,322 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes 1.7% 2,999.8 shares