No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1M
- Potential profit
- $1M
- User PnL
- -$33.75K
Polymarket Trader
mindeirs
0xe7cb6e31f033e0e9f5940e46d84166c7d7ded447
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $38.08K
- Realized PnL
- $111.77K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $2.25K
- Potential payout
- $264.33K
- Potential profit
- $262.08K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$10.29K
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.1%
- Current value
- $28.88K
- Potential payout
- $204.21K
- Potential profit
- $175.34K
- Multiplier
- 7.07x
- User PnL
- $5.19K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $262.86
- Potential payout
- $175.24K
- Potential profit
- $174.98K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$24.06K
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.33K
- Potential profit
- $54.33K
- User PnL
- -$2.25K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$168.75
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $181.56
- Potential payout
- $12.52K
- Potential profit
- $12.34K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$35.7
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $25
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.98K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $5
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $5.89K
- Potential payout
- $6.51K
- Potential profit
- $617.99
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.56K
Yes position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.3K
- Potential profit
- $6.3K
- User PnL
- -$323.9
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $400.26
- Potential payout
- $1.86K
- Potential profit
- $1.46K
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$55.2
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $199.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- User PnL
- $8.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $19.09K
Yes position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.3K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.91K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.66K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.73K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.44K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.18K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.51K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.01K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $963.76
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $819.62
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $631.2
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $376.87
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $374.41
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $290.35
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.21
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $117.09
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 11.8% 13,119.64 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 2.3% 5,000 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 10,000 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 10.1% 1,544.34 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 7.1% 34,641.76 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 24% 15 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 24% 65 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 19% 200 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 15.3% 454.38 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 24% 275.97 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 22.1% 110 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 33.3% 600.6 shares