Polymarket Trader

MKMK

0xe7cd43a614a110463e86f10775c42c50a4223cae

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $880.5
Realized PnL: $1.5K
Win rate: 82.6%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.1K
Potential profit: $14.1K
User PnL: -$2.04K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $651
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $749
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$245

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $229.5
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $670.5
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$207.27

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2023-24 Champions League?

Ends May 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $555.56
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$42

Yes position

Finnish Presidential Election: Will Pekka Haavisto win?

Ends Jan 26, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187.38
Potential profit: $187.38
User PnL: -$14.99

Yes position

Will Ryan Gosling win the Oscar for Best Supporting Actor?

Ends Mar 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$10

M80 position

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$20

No position

Trump wins every swing state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88.61
Potential profit: $88.61
User PnL: -$70

Over position

Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$47.2

Yes position

Will Ethereum hit $4,200.00 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $775.43

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $387.12

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $70

Yes position

Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVIII?

Ends Feb 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.53

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.7

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.71

Yes position

Will Emma Stone win the Oscar for Best Actress?

Ends Mar 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.36

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.17

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will "Oppenheimer" win the Oscar for Best Picture?

Ends Mar 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.47

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $7.06

Yes position

Will Ethereum hit $4,100.00 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.01

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.85

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.41

Yes position

Will Da'Vine Joy Randolph win the Oscar for Best Supporting Actress?

Ends Mar 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.97

No position

Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

ENCE position

Counter-Strike: Atreides vs ENCE (BO3) - XPortal Playoffs

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.91

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2024 Euros?

Ends Jul 14, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.78

No position

Biden drops out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20.85

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.7% 10,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 5.5% 2,000 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 64% 1,400 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 48.5% 900 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 95% 1,600 shares
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5

Over 59% 80 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 46.5% 1,600 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Yes 57% 146.39 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 21% 200 shares
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

M80 20% 100 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 87% 1,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

No 98% 1,000 shares