Yes position
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $28.16
- Potential payout
- $11.27K
- Potential profit
- $11.24K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.51
Polymarket Trader
LordLazer
0xe7dd0d1b1df24113edc0fbb38233bee8531018f4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $450.92
- Realized PnL
- $542.83
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $22
- Potential payout
- $5.5K
- Potential profit
- $5.48K
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.34
Yes position
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $4.17
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.66K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $142.5
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$22.5
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $170
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $830
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $997.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $19.5
- Potential payout
- $650
- Potential profit
- $630.5
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- -$5.55
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $20.6
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $379.4
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- $4.6
Yes position
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $5.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $394.2
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.7
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$15.7
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $10.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $189.1
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.58
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.6%
- Current value
- $20.8
- Potential payout
- $106.38
- Potential profit
- $85.59
- Multiplier
- 5.12x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.75
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.95
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $3.3
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $96.7
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- -$3.7
Yes position
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.44
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.94
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $313.5
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.01
No position
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.24
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.63
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.2
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.44
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.59
Yes position
Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 15+ times during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
No position
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.39
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72
Yes position
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?Yes 8% 25 shares
- Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.8% 83.33 shares
- Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.6% 166.67 shares
- Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 0.3% 1,000 shares
- Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 0.3% 1,666.67 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 10.6% 20 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes 0.2% 5,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 8% 200 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes 0.2% 2,500 shares
- Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 0.6% 173.64 shares
- Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No 8% 62.5 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes 11% 17.53 shares