Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $862.49
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $637.5
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$112.5
Polymarket Trader
4Prudence123
0xe7e673e84cc9ba4e5755b1a900d7b3a1e33b9da2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.43K
- Realized PnL
- -$777.29
- Win rate
- 46.2%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $564
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $236
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 39%
- Multiplier
- 2.57x
- User PnL
- $112.28
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $82.25
Yes position
Billions FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.65
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.27
No position
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.78
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.19
No position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$53.13
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$61.81
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$340
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$600
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 79.8% 1,314.04 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No 83% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 38% 3,000 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 88.9% 1,190 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 89% 1,190 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15.4% 6,534.05 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.3% 6,910 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 32% 2,321.83 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 40.2% 3,622 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 37.1% 3,622 shares
- Billions FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 93% 218.2 shares
- Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 98.7% 1,297.4 shares