Yes position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $24.87
- Potential payout
- $78.95
- Potential profit
- $54.08
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $9.87
Polymarket Trader
0xe7EDAc04fd2607153EC01082b4281FC7b573b23D-1770859655915
0xe7edac04fd2607153ec01082b4281fc7b573b23d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $24.87
- Realized PnL
- $183.7
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $520.56
Yes position
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$136.6
No position
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$235.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Claude 4.8 released by May 31?Yes 24% 180.11 shares
- GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?Yes 75% 93.33 shares
- GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?No 4.4% 2,548.87 shares
- GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?No 12% 80 shares
- GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?No 8% 176.8 shares
- GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?No 13% 121.2 shares
- GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?No 48.4% 125.89 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?Yes 2.1% 1,988.44 shares
- Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes 19% 78.95 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?Yes 9% 1,988.44 shares