Yes position
Anduril IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $81.76
- Potential payout
- $584
- Potential profit
- $502.24
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$17.52
Polymarket Trader
ReneeCastaneda9762
0xe7edb35fc4edbb235bdb91fc3fc5c5d71a35ec87
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $568.32
- Realized PnL
- $5.28K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $257.21
- Potential payout
- $289
- Potential profit
- $31.79
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $23.12
Yes position
Rippling IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $24.65
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $145.35
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$41.65
No position
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $71.4
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $33.6
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $85.07
- Potential payout
- $94
- Potential profit
- $8.93
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.29
No position
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $46.78
- Potential payout
- $49.5
- Potential profit
- $2.72
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $11.63
Yes position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.93
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $2.63
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Southern Illinois Salukis position
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98K
Yes position
Will RV There Yet? win Sit Back and Relax in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $653.37
Yes position
Will "AI" be said 15+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $529.2
Yes position
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-03-05?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $340.29
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 9 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.83
Dems position
Larger margin of victory in Dem or GOP Texas Senate Primary?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.57
No position
Will "The Housemaid" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.99
Over position
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.72
No position
Will Cornyn flip Paxton for Texas Rep Senate Primary Winner by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.15
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 15 be greater than 2,800,000?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $107.25
Yes position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.75
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.5
N
No position
CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: Draw at halftime?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.14
Yes position
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $62.9
No position
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $60.06
Yes position
Will a team from England be the 2026 Conference League winner?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.4
No position
Over $1B raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $58.87
No position
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.44
Yes position
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 22.8%
- Multiplier
- 4.40x
- User PnL
- $46.96
No position
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 55% and 58%?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.64
Yes position
Will "Sinners" win Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.95
No position
Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-02-15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.03
No position
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $25.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?No 81% 289 shares
- Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 68% 15 shares
- Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?No 87% 71 shares
- Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?No 87% 76 shares
- Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?No 87% 91 shares
- Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 67% 203 shares
- Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?No 87% 25 shares
- Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?No 87% 128 shares
- Anduril IPO before 2027?Yes 7% 309 shares
- Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 26% 20 shares
- Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?No 82% 193 shares
- Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?No 82% 565 shares