Polymarket Trader

Banditoxaxa

0xe7fe17248aab26ed24935921fb81bf0a452624e5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.18K
Realized PnL: $6.28K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will no listed leader be out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $279.12
Potential payout: $13.04K
Potential profit: $12.76K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $30.45

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $552.04
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $37.01

Yes position

Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.61K
User PnL: -$22.11

No position

Will Aurora make a roster change before July?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $930.68
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $418.32
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $185.74

Yes position

Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $250.34
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $134.49

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $152.58
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $724.46

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $397.88
Potential payout: $936.19
Potential profit: $538.31
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$44.59

No position

Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $425.03
Potential payout: $914.04
Potential profit: $489.01
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $4.35

Yes position

Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.3%
Current value: $72.25
Potential payout: $776.84
Potential profit: $704.59
Multiplier: 10.75x
User PnL: -$68.7

No position

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $483.69
Potential payout: $749.91
Potential profit: $266.22
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $290.57

Yes position

Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $705.03
Potential profit: $705.03
User PnL: -$62.05

No position

Claude 4.8 released by May 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $609.7
Potential profit: $609.7
User PnL: -$21.5

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $591.17
Potential profit: $590.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$188.51

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $3.11
Potential payout: $565.03
Potential profit: $561.92
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$131.59

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $261.92
Potential payout: $563.26
Potential profit: $301.34
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$30.64

GamerLegion position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $477.43
Potential profit: $477.43
User PnL: -$5.78

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 24.1%
Current value: $101.84
Potential payout: $422.58
Potential profit: $320.74
Multiplier: 4.15x
User PnL: -$5.77

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $3.89
Potential payout: $370.48
Potential profit: $366.59
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$48.56

No position

Will PARIVISION make a roster change before July?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $59.23
Potential payout: $348.4
Potential profit: $289.17
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$130.49

No position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $224.01
Potential payout: $341.99
Potential profit: $117.99
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $47.91

No position

Will HEROIC make a roster change before August?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $56.26
Potential payout: $312.55
Potential profit: $256.29
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $25.75

No position

Will The MongolZ make a roster change before July?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $229.9
Potential payout: $265.78
Potential profit: $35.88
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $74.34

Monte position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$5.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77K

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $710.97

Yes position

Will The MongolZ win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?

Ends Jun 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $238.32

BIG position

Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BIG (BO3) - HLC Belgrade Pro Playoffs

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.74

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $208.94

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.42

Nawrocki position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski or Karol Nawrocki win Łódzkie?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.68

Yes position

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 24%
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $165

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $150.08

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in the Antioquia Department?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.24

Sinners position

Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.92

No position

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $97.32

Yes position

Will Borussia Dortmund win Group F at the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.4

Yes position

Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.68

No position

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 76%
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $80.95

Yes position

Will Manuel Flavio Minervini win the 2026 Molfetta mayoral election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.36

No position

Polish snap election called in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.2

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.75

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.38

B8 position

BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: Falcons vs. B8

Ends Jun 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.68

OG position

Counter-Strike: BIG vs OG (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group C

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.91

No position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.56

Ursa position

Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffs

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 87% 135.62 shares
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Yes 53% 100 shares
Will Adrian Boafo be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?

Yes 73% 150 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 87% 117.93 shares
Will France be the highest-scoring team in Group I during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 77% 25 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?

Yes 40% 20 shares
Will Iraq be the worst-placed Asian nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 29.6% 30.68 shares
Will France be the highest-scoring team in Group I during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 73.6% 100.28 shares
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 1.5

Under 30% 40 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 87.1% 260.14 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?

Yes 24% 62.69 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 88% 130.53 shares