Polymarket Trader

nickthechopper

0xe807669773bfbf08918c61d0191fd7db12ee4d35

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.7K
Realized PnL: $13.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.54K
Potential payout: $10.55K
Potential profit: $5.27
User PnL: $220.65

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $2.53K
Potential payout: $7.32K
Potential profit: $4.8K
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$751.18

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.13K
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $1.07
User PnL: $85.53

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of June 15 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 6.9%
Current value: $44.21
Potential payout: $640.78
Potential profit: $596.57
Multiplier: 14.49x
User PnL: -$60.6

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $602.81
Potential payout: $603.12
Potential profit: $0.3
User PnL: $2.81

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $315.04
Potential payout: $320
Potential profit: $4.96
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $213.89
Potential payout: $214
Potential profit: $0.11
User PnL: $6.53

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $97.13
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $7.88
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $100.15
Potential payout: $100.2
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $52.73
Potential payout: $95
Potential profit: $42.28
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$1.42

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $36.98
Potential payout: $37.17
Potential profit: $0.19
User PnL: $0.89

No position

Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $22.09
Potential payout: $22.88
Potential profit: $0.79
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.9%
Current value: $2.19
Potential payout: $20.1
Potential profit: $17.91
Multiplier: 9.17x
User PnL: $0.74

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.1

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $5.77
Potential profit: $5.35
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.1%
Current value: $4.66
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $0.35
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $4.88
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $958.9

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $885.24

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $882.88

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $858.96

No position

Will Moldova win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $849.97

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $737.9

Yes position

Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $729.01

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $644.98

No position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $577.23

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $474.12

Yes position

Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $436.02

Yes position

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $423.49

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $381.97

Yes position

Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $380.89

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $363.65

Yes position

Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $302.59

Yes position

Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $298.64

No position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $291

No position

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $271.63

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $253.02

No position

Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.81

Yes position

Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.01

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 98.4% 90 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 57% 100 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 98.9% 10 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 92.9% 5 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 93% 100 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 6.3% 90.24 shares
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of June 15 2026?

Yes 11.9% 27.1 shares
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of June 15 2026?

Yes 11.9% 27.1 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 43% 5 shares
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of June 15 2026?

Yes 7.9% 14.8 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 93.8% 43.56 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 6.6% 624.36 shares