No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $174.35
- Potential payout
- $611.98
- Potential profit
- $437.63
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $21.36
Polymarket Trader
0xe81e...63ff
0xe81e3d0958172ab4b133e0118656abf4ac3663ff
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.01K
- Realized PnL
- -$201.28
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $545.4
- Potential payout
- $572
- Potential profit
- $26.6
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$5.43
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $187.46
- Potential payout
- $206.11
- Potential profit
- $18.65
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$1.13
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $40.8
- Potential payout
- $96
- Potential profit
- $55.2
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $6.24
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.2%
- Current value
- $63.55
- Potential payout
- $83.45
- Potential profit
- $19.9
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $3.38
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $3.08
- Potential payout
- $4.31
- Potential profit
- $1.23
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $36.24
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.59
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 81.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $3.18
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
No position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.76
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.2%
- Multiplier
- 2.69x
- User PnL
- -$59.1
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$184.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 18.5% 828.14 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?No 30% 613.57 shares
- Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.8% 801.76 shares
- Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.9% 801.76 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 95.9% 9.37 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 96% 9.37 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 91.5% 659.82 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 61.8% 282.42 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 97.1% 325 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 97.4% 35 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 72.1% 63.45 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 61.7% 1.58 shares