Polymarket Trader

Archie-Karas

0xe826f8ba7ec65df333ac48bd81570628f773adb7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $82.04
Realized PnL: $243.68
Win rate: 47.1%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.92

Over position

Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $81.46
Potential payout: $203.66
Potential profit: $122.2
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$2.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $168.08
Potential profit: $168.08
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $140
User PnL: -$29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.94
Potential profit: $89.94
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.48
Potential profit: $87.48
User PnL: -$9.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.37
Potential profit: $82.37
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.5
Potential profit: $81.5
User PnL: -$36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.88
Potential profit: $72.88
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.46
Potential profit: $64.46
User PnL: -$21.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.86
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $13.51
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $171.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.08

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.77

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$5.94

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.49

Flavio Cobolli position

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$22.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 2.5

Over 41% 203.66 shares
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 17?

Yes 98.9% 230.2 shares
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 17?

No 99.9% 43 shares
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 17?

No 71% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 17?

No 70% 7 shares
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 17?

No 68% 16 shares
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on June 17?

Yes 0.5% 545.41 shares
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on June 17?

Yes 0.9% 107.65 shares
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 17?

Yes 37% 32.84 shares
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 17?

Yes 26% 12 shares
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 17?

Yes 25% 25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 17?

Yes 25% 25 shares