Polymarket Trader

Matthewceo

@matthewceoo

0xe8278d22bef444ede84505b7c0ec4e4001305209

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.75K
Realized PnL: $28K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.9%
Current value: $198.51
Potential payout: $2.88K
Potential profit: $2.68K
Multiplier: 14.49x
User PnL: -$166.87

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $365.6
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $40.46

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.54
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$475.57

No position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $475
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $525
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $105

Yes position

Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.91

Yes position

Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.91

Yes position

Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.91

Yes position

Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.91

Yes position

Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.91

Yes position

Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.91

Yes position

Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.91

Yes position

Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.91

Yes position

Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.91

Yes position

Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.91

Yes position

Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.91

Yes position

Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.91

Yes position

Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.91

Yes position

Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.91

Yes position

Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.91

Yes position

Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.91

Yes position

Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.91

Yes position

Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.91

Yes position

Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.91

Yes position

Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.91

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7K

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.15K

No position

Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.59K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22K

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.36K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32K

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

No position

Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $968.76

No position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $967.49

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $921.45

No position

Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $874.5

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: $869.58

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $803.73

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $791.32

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $729.69

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $700.2

Yes position

Enhanced Games: Fred Kerley 100m Sprint Time Under 9.76?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $675

Yes position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $614.05

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $596.43

Yes position

Trump kiss by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $594.65

No position

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $591.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $582.98

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $580

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $561.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

No 53% 22.78 shares
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?

Yes 31.7% 460.67 shares
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals

Yes 99.9% 336.76 shares
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals

No 70% 0.8 shares
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 18.5% 80.77 shares
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals

No 41.4% 276.24 shares
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals

No 50% 200 shares
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals

No 50% 621 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?

Yes 79% 253 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?

Yes 79% 10.19 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 12.7% 2,777 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 12.7% 100 shares