Polymarket Trader

KrisCamp

0xe84eb4674cd02742d413a5374eabdaba69f69e83

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.79
Realized PnL: -$44.09
Win rate: 35.3%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.74
Potential profit: $26.74
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.41
Potential profit: $22.41
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.9
Potential profit: $21.9
User PnL: -$8.3

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.36
Potential profit: $10.36
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $9.62
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $4.79
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $3.54
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.81
Potential profit: $7.81
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $345.32

Yes position

Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.13

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.73

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

Yes position

Will Nigel Farage win election to UK parliament?

Ends Jul 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will Kamala lead in RCP by 2-2.4 on Oct 4?

Ends Oct 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Chelsea wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.53

Yes position

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Auburn win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17.33

No position

Bronny James drafted by the Lakers?

Ends Jun 27, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$26.51

Yes position

Will Maccabi TLV win the UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$39.73

Yes position

Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$346.74

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 58% 22.41 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Yes 52% 9.62 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 96.5% 1,915.11 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 96.6% 1,915.11 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?

Yes 64% 7.81 shares
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 98.5% 712 shares
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 1.3% 712 shares
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Yes 18.7% 26.74 shares
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 60% 8.33 shares
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 95.5% 15.71 shares
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Yes 67.6% 10.36 shares
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Yes 37.9% 21.9 shares